
Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Differential Equations
by Iacus, Stefano M.-
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Summary
Author Biography
Table of Contents
Preface | p. VII |
Notation | p. XVII |
Stochastic Processes and Stochastic Differential Equations | p. 1 |
Elements of probability and random variables | p. 1 |
Mean, variance, and moments | p. 2 |
Change of measure and Radon-Nikodym derivative | p. 4 |
Random number generation | p. 5 |
The Monte Carlo method | p. 5 |
Variance reduction techniques | p. 8 |
Preferential sampling | p. 9 |
Control variables | p. 12 |
Antithetic sampling | p. 13 |
Generalities of stochastic processes | p. 14 |
Filtrations | p. 14 |
Simple and quadratic variation of a process | p. 15 |
Moments, covariance, and increments of stochastic processes | p. 16 |
Conditional expectation | p. 16 |
Martingales | p. 18 |
Brownian motion | p. 18 |
Brownian motion as the limit of a random walk | p. 20 |
Brownian motion as L[superscript 2 0, T] expansion | p. 22 |
Brownian motion paths are nowhere differentiable | p. 24 |
Geometric Brownian motion | p. 24 |
Brownian bridge | p. 27 |
Stochastic integrals and stochastic differential equations | p. 29 |
Properties of the stochastic integral and Ito processes | p. 32 |
Diffusion processes | p. 33 |
Ergodicity | p. 35 |
Markovianity | p. 36 |
Quadratic variation | p. 37 |
Infinitesimal generator of a diffusion process | p. 37 |
How to obtain a martingale from a diffusion process | p. 37 |
Ito formula | p. 38 |
Orders of differentials in the Ito formula | p. 38 |
Linear stochastic differential equations | p. 39 |
Derivation of the SDE for the geometric Brownian motion | p. 39 |
The Lamperti transform | p. 40 |
Girsanov's theorem and likelihood ratio for diffusion processes | p. 41 |
Some parametric families of stochastic processes | p. 43 |
Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or Vasicek process | p. 43 |
The Black-Scholes-Merton or geometric Brownian motion model | p. 46 |
The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model | p. 47 |
The CKLS family of models | p. 49 |
The modified CIR and hyperbolic processes | p. 49 |
The hyperbolic processes | p. 50 |
The nonlinear mean reversion Ait-Sahalia model | p. 50 |
Double-well potential | p. 51 |
The Jacobi diffusion process | p. 51 |
Ahn and Gao model or inverse of Feller's square root model | p. 52 |
Radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process | p. 52 |
Pearson diffusions | p. 52 |
Another classification of linear stochastic systems | p. 54 |
One epidemic model | p. 56 |
The stochastic cusp catastrophe model | p. 57 |
Exponential families of diffusions | p. 58 |
Generalized inverse gaussian diffusions | p. 59 |
Numerical Methods for SDE | p. 61 |
Euler approximation | p. 62 |
A note on code vectorization | p. 63 |
Milstein scheme | p. 65 |
Relationship between Milstein and Euler schemes | p. 66 |
Transform of the geometric Brownian motion | p. 68 |
Transform of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process | p. 68 |
Implementation of Euler and Milstein schemes: the sde.sim function | p. 69 |
Example of use | p. 70 |
The constant elasticity of variance process and strange paths | p. 72 |
Predictor-corrector method | p. 72 |
Strong convergence for Euler and Milstein schemes | p. 74 |
KPS method of strong order [gamma] = 1.5 | p. 77 |
Second Milstein scheme | p. 81 |
Drawing from the transition density | p. 82 |
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or Vasicek process | p. 83 |
The Black and Scholes process | p. 83 |
The CIR process | p. 83 |
Drawing from one model of the previous classes | p. 84 |
Local linearization method | p. 85 |
The Ozaki method | p. 85 |
The Shoji-Ozaki method | p. 87 |
Exact sampling | p. 91 |
Simulation of diffusion bridges | p. 98 |
The algorithm | p. 99 |
Numerical considerations about the Euler scheme | p. 101 |
Variance reduction techniques | p. 102 |
Control variables | p. 103 |
Summary of the function sde.sim | p. 105 |
Tips and tricks on simulation | p. 106 |
Parametric Estimation | p. 109 |
Exact likelihood inference | p. 112 |
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or Vasicek model | p. 113 |
The Black and Scholes or geometric Brownian motion model | p. 117 |
The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model | p. 119 |
Pseudo-likelihood methods | p. 122 |
Euler method | p. 122 |
Elerian method | p. 125 |
Local linearization methods | p. 127 |
Comparison of pseudo-likelihoods | p. 128 |
Approximated likelihood methods | p. 131 |
Kessler method | p. 131 |
Simulated likelihood method | p. 134 |
Hermite polynomials expansion of the likelihood | p. 138 |
Bayesian estimation | p. 155 |
Estimating functions | p. 157 |
Simple estimating functions | p. 157 |
Algorithm 1 for simple estimating functions | p. 164 |
Algorithm 2 for simple estimating functions | p. 167 |
Martingale estimating functions | p. 172 |
Polynomial martingale estimating functions | p. 173 |
Estimating functions based on eigenfunctions | p. 178 |
Estimating functions based on transform functions | p. 179 |
Discretization of continuous-time estimators | p. 179 |
Generalized method of moments | p. 182 |
The GMM algorithm | p. 184 |
GMM, stochastic differential equations, and Euler method | p. 185 |
What about multidimensional diffusion processes? | p. 190 |
Miscellaneous Topics | p. 191 |
Model identification via Akaike's information criterion | p. 191 |
Nonparametric estimation | p. 197 |
Stationary density estimation | p. 198 |
Local-time and stationary density estimators | p. 201 |
Estimation of diffusion and drift coefficients | p. 202 |
Change-point estimation | p. 208 |
Estimation of the change point with unknown drift | p. 212 |
A famous example | p. 215 |
A brief excursus into R | p. 217 |
Typing into the R console | p. 217 |
Assignments | p. 218 |
R vectors and linear algebra | p. 220 |
Subsetting | p. 221 |
Different types of objects | p. 222 |
Expressions and functions | p. 225 |
Loops and vectorization | p. 227 |
Environments | p. 228 |
Time series objects | p. 229 |
R Scripts | p. 231 |
Miscellanea | p. 232 |
The sde Package | p. 233 |
BM | p. 234 |
cpoint | p. 235 |
DBridge | p. 236 |
dcElerian | p. 237 |
dcEuler | p. 238 |
dcKessler | p. 238 |
dcOzaki | p. 239 |
dcShoji | p. 240 |
dcSim | p. 241 |
DWJ | p. 243 |
EULERloglik | p. 243 |
gmm | p. 245 |
HPloglik | p. 247 |
ksmooth | p. 248 |
linear.mart.ef | p. 250 |
rcBS | p. 251 |
rcCIR | p. 252 |
rcOU | p. 253 |
rsCIR | p. 254 |
rsOU | p. 255 |
sde.sim | p. 256 |
sdeAIC | p. 259 |
SIMloglik | p. 261 |
simple.ef | p. 262 |
simple.ef2 | p. 264 |
References | p. 267 |
Index | p. 279 |
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