Probability and Statistical Models

by ; ;
Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2010-08-20
Publisher(s): Birkhauser
  • Free Shipping Icon

    This Item Qualifies for Free Shipping!*

    *Excludes marketplace orders.

List Price: $89.99

Buy New

Usually Ships in 8 - 10 Business Days.
$89.90

Rent Textbook

Select for Price
There was a problem. Please try again later.

Rent Digital

Rent Digital Options
Online:30 Days access
Downloadable:30 Days
$19.80
Online:60 Days access
Downloadable:60 Days
$26.40
Online:90 Days access
Downloadable:90 Days
$33.00
Online:120 Days access
Downloadable:120 Days
$39.60
Online:180 Days access
Downloadable:180 Days
$42.90
Online:1825 Days access
Downloadable:Lifetime Access
$65.99
*To support the delivery of the digital material to you, a non-refundable digital delivery fee of $3.99 will be charged on each digital item.
$42.90*

Used Textbook

We're Sorry
Sold Out

How Marketplace Works:

  • This item is offered by an independent seller and not shipped from our warehouse
  • Item details like edition and cover design may differ from our description; see seller's comments before ordering.
  • Sellers much confirm and ship within two business days; otherwise, the order will be cancelled and refunded.
  • Marketplace purchases cannot be returned to eCampus.com. Contact the seller directly for inquiries; if no response within two days, contact customer service.
  • Additional shipping costs apply to Marketplace purchases. Review shipping costs at checkout.

Summary

With an emphasis on models and techniques, this textbook introduces many of the fundamental concepts of stochastic modeling that are now a vital component of almost every scientific investigation. These models form the basis of well-known parametric lifetime distributions such as exponential, Weibull, and gamma distributions, as well as change-point and mixture models. The authors also consider more general notions of non-parametric lifetime distribution classes. In particular, emphasis is placed on laying the foundation for solving problems in reliability, insurance, finance, and credit risk. Exercises and solutions to selected problems accompany each chapter in order to allow students to explore these foundations.The key subjects covered include:* Exponential distributions and the Poisson process* Parametric lifetime distributions* Non-parametric lifetime distribution classes* Multivariate exponential extensions* Association and dependence* Renewal theory* Problems in reliability, insurance, finance, and credit riskThis work differs from traditional probability textbooks in a number of ways. Since no measure theory knowledge is necessary to understand the material and coverage of the central limit theorem and normal theory related topics has been omitted, the work may be used as a single-semester senior undergraduate or first-year graduate textbook as well as in a second course on probability modeling. Many of the chapters that examine central topics in applied probability can be read independently, allowing both instructors and readers extra flexibility in their use of the book.Probability and Statistical Models is for a wide audience including advanced undergraduate and beginning-level graduate students, researchers, and practitioners in mathematics, statistics, engineering, and economics.

Table of Contents

Preliminariesp. 1
Introductionp. 1
Notationsp. 2
Random Variable and Distribution functionp. 4
Mean and Variancep. 5
Joint and Conditional Distributionsp. 8
Joint Distributionp. 8
Independent Sums and Lawsp. 9
Conditional Distribution and Meanp. 10
Survival Function and Failure Ratep. 13
Survival Function and Failure Ratep. 13
Mean and Mean Residual Lifep. 15
Cauchy Functional Equationp. 16
Problemsp. 17
Exponential Distributionp. 23
Introductionp. 23
Exponential Distributionp. 23
Characterization of Exponential Distributionp. 27
Memoryless Propertyp. 27
Constant Failure Rate Functionp. 30
Extreme Value Distributionp. 30
Order Statistics and Exponential Distributionp. 32
Some Properties of Order Statisticsp. 32
Characterization Based on Order Statisticsp. 35
Record Valuesp. 37
More Applicationsp. 37
Problemsp. 40
Poisson Processp. 45
Poisson Process as a Counting Processp. 45
Characterization of Poisson Processes as Counting Processesp. 47
Poisson Process as a Renewal Processp. 53
Further Properties of Poisson Processp. 57
Superposition Processp. 57
Decomposition of Poisson Processp. 58
Examples of Poisson Processp. 60
Problemsp. 67
Parametric Families of Lifetime Distributionsp. 71
Weibull Distributionp. 71
Gamma Distributionp. 74
Change-Point Modelp. 78
Mixture Exponential Distributionp. 79
IFR (DFR) and Mixture Erlang Distributionp. 81
Problemsp. 84
Lifetime Distribution Classesp. 87
IFR and DFRp. 87
IFR and PF2p. 87
Smoothness of IFR Distributionp. 90
A Sufficient Conditionp. 91
IFRA and DFRA Classesp. 92
Several Lifetime Distribution Classesp. 95
Preservation of Lifetime Distributions Under Reliability Operationsp. 99
Independent Sumsp. 99
Mixture of Lifetime Distributionsp. 101
Shock Models and Lifetime Distribution Classesp. 104
IFRA Property of Shock Modelp. 104
Extension of Cumulative Damage Modelp. 107
General Cumulative Damage Modelp. 108
Shock Models Leading to Other Lifetime Distributionsp. 110
Problemsp. 112
Multivariate Lifetime Distributionsp. 117
Basic Properties of Bivariate Distributionsp. 117
Bivariate Memoryless Propertyp. 120
Property of the BVEp. 125
A Nonfatal Shock Modelp. 133
Absolutely Continuous Bivariate Exponential Extensionsp. 135
Problemsp. 139
Association and Dependencep. 141
Several Concepts of Associationp. 141
MTP2 Distributionp. 146
Multivariate Failure Rate and Distribution classp. 149
Negative Associationp. 151
Problemsp. 156
Renewal Theoryp. 159
Renewal Theoremp. 159
High-Order Approximations and Boundsp. 163
Delayed Renewal Processp. 166
Defective Renewal Processp. 169
Problemsp. 175
Risk Theoryp. 179
Classical Risk Modelp. 179
Approximation and Bounds for Ruin Probabilityp. 181
Deficit at Ruinp. 183
Large Claim Casep. 185
Bounds in terms of NWU (NBU) Distribution Classesp. 186
Subexponential Classesp. 190
Risk Sharing and Stop-Loss Reinsurancep. 193
Problemsp. 196
Asset Pricing Theoryp. 199
Utility, Risk, and Pricing Kernelp. 199
Utility and Riskp. 199
Asset Pricing Formula and Pricing Kernelp. 200
Models for Returnsp. 203
ß-Representationp. 203
Frontier Expressionp. 204
Log-Normal Modelp. 204
Examples of Risk Assetsp. 205
Risk-Neutral Probabiltiesp. 207
Option Pricing for Binomial Modelp. 208
Pricing Formula for Multiple Stagesp. 208
Binomial Modelp. 208
Portfolio Managementp. 210
Discrete Financial Marketp. 210
Risk Managementp. 211
Hedging Optionsp. 213
Black-Scholes Formulap. 216
Problemsp. 218
Credit Risk Modelingp. 221
Two Models for Default Probabilityp. 221
Basic Notationp. 221
Reduced Formp. 222
Structural Modelp. 224
Valuation of Default Riskp. 225
No Recovery Zero-Coupon Defaultable Bondp. 226
Non-Zero Recoveryp. 226
Actual and Risk Neutral Default Intensityp. 227
Credit Rating: Default and Transitionp. 227
Credit Ratingp. 227
Rating Assignmentp. 229
Rating Transitionp. 229
Correlated Defaultsp. 230
Credit Metricsp. 230
Correlated Default Intensitiesp. 231
Copula-Based Correlation Modelingp. 231
Credit Derivativesp. 232
Credit Default Swapsp. 233
Collateral Debt Obligationsp. 234
Problemsp. 235
Bibliographical Notes and Further Readingp. 237
Referencesp. 241
Answers and Solutions to Selected Problemsp. 245
Indexp. 265
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

An electronic version of this book is available through VitalSource.

This book is viewable on PC, Mac, iPhone, iPad, iPod Touch, and most smartphones.

By purchasing, you will be able to view this book online, as well as download it, for the chosen number of days.

Digital License

You are licensing a digital product for a set duration. Durations are set forth in the product description, with "Lifetime" typically meaning five (5) years of online access and permanent download to a supported device. All licenses are non-transferable.

More details can be found here.

A downloadable version of this book is available through the eCampus Reader or compatible Adobe readers.

Applications are available on iOS, Android, PC, Mac, and Windows Mobile platforms.

Please view the compatibility matrix prior to purchase.