Probability and Statistical Models
by Gupta, Arjun K.; Zeng, Wei-Bin; Wu, Yanhong-
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Summary
Table of Contents
| Preliminaries | p. 1 |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| Notations | p. 2 |
| Random Variable and Distribution function | p. 4 |
| Mean and Variance | p. 5 |
| Joint and Conditional Distributions | p. 8 |
| Joint Distribution | p. 8 |
| Independent Sums and Laws | p. 9 |
| Conditional Distribution and Mean | p. 10 |
| Survival Function and Failure Rate | p. 13 |
| Survival Function and Failure Rate | p. 13 |
| Mean and Mean Residual Life | p. 15 |
| Cauchy Functional Equation | p. 16 |
| Problems | p. 17 |
| Exponential Distribution | p. 23 |
| Introduction | p. 23 |
| Exponential Distribution | p. 23 |
| Characterization of Exponential Distribution | p. 27 |
| Memoryless Property | p. 27 |
| Constant Failure Rate Function | p. 30 |
| Extreme Value Distribution | p. 30 |
| Order Statistics and Exponential Distribution | p. 32 |
| Some Properties of Order Statistics | p. 32 |
| Characterization Based on Order Statistics | p. 35 |
| Record Values | p. 37 |
| More Applications | p. 37 |
| Problems | p. 40 |
| Poisson Process | p. 45 |
| Poisson Process as a Counting Process | p. 45 |
| Characterization of Poisson Processes as Counting Processes | p. 47 |
| Poisson Process as a Renewal Process | p. 53 |
| Further Properties of Poisson Process | p. 57 |
| Superposition Process | p. 57 |
| Decomposition of Poisson Process | p. 58 |
| Examples of Poisson Process | p. 60 |
| Problems | p. 67 |
| Parametric Families of Lifetime Distributions | p. 71 |
| Weibull Distribution | p. 71 |
| Gamma Distribution | p. 74 |
| Change-Point Model | p. 78 |
| Mixture Exponential Distribution | p. 79 |
| IFR (DFR) and Mixture Erlang Distribution | p. 81 |
| Problems | p. 84 |
| Lifetime Distribution Classes | p. 87 |
| IFR and DFR | p. 87 |
| IFR and PF2 | p. 87 |
| Smoothness of IFR Distribution | p. 90 |
| A Sufficient Condition | p. 91 |
| IFRA and DFRA Classes | p. 92 |
| Several Lifetime Distribution Classes | p. 95 |
| Preservation of Lifetime Distributions Under Reliability Operations | p. 99 |
| Independent Sums | p. 99 |
| Mixture of Lifetime Distributions | p. 101 |
| Shock Models and Lifetime Distribution Classes | p. 104 |
| IFRA Property of Shock Model | p. 104 |
| Extension of Cumulative Damage Model | p. 107 |
| General Cumulative Damage Model | p. 108 |
| Shock Models Leading to Other Lifetime Distributions | p. 110 |
| Problems | p. 112 |
| Multivariate Lifetime Distributions | p. 117 |
| Basic Properties of Bivariate Distributions | p. 117 |
| Bivariate Memoryless Property | p. 120 |
| Property of the BVE | p. 125 |
| A Nonfatal Shock Model | p. 133 |
| Absolutely Continuous Bivariate Exponential Extensions | p. 135 |
| Problems | p. 139 |
| Association and Dependence | p. 141 |
| Several Concepts of Association | p. 141 |
| MTP2 Distribution | p. 146 |
| Multivariate Failure Rate and Distribution class | p. 149 |
| Negative Association | p. 151 |
| Problems | p. 156 |
| Renewal Theory | p. 159 |
| Renewal Theorem | p. 159 |
| High-Order Approximations and Bounds | p. 163 |
| Delayed Renewal Process | p. 166 |
| Defective Renewal Process | p. 169 |
| Problems | p. 175 |
| Risk Theory | p. 179 |
| Classical Risk Model | p. 179 |
| Approximation and Bounds for Ruin Probability | p. 181 |
| Deficit at Ruin | p. 183 |
| Large Claim Case | p. 185 |
| Bounds in terms of NWU (NBU) Distribution Classes | p. 186 |
| Subexponential Classes | p. 190 |
| Risk Sharing and Stop-Loss Reinsurance | p. 193 |
| Problems | p. 196 |
| Asset Pricing Theory | p. 199 |
| Utility, Risk, and Pricing Kernel | p. 199 |
| Utility and Risk | p. 199 |
| Asset Pricing Formula and Pricing Kernel | p. 200 |
| Models for Returns | p. 203 |
| ß-Representation | p. 203 |
| Frontier Expression | p. 204 |
| Log-Normal Model | p. 204 |
| Examples of Risk Assets | p. 205 |
| Risk-Neutral Probabilties | p. 207 |
| Option Pricing for Binomial Model | p. 208 |
| Pricing Formula for Multiple Stages | p. 208 |
| Binomial Model | p. 208 |
| Portfolio Management | p. 210 |
| Discrete Financial Market | p. 210 |
| Risk Management | p. 211 |
| Hedging Options | p. 213 |
| Black-Scholes Formula | p. 216 |
| Problems | p. 218 |
| Credit Risk Modeling | p. 221 |
| Two Models for Default Probability | p. 221 |
| Basic Notation | p. 221 |
| Reduced Form | p. 222 |
| Structural Model | p. 224 |
| Valuation of Default Risk | p. 225 |
| No Recovery Zero-Coupon Defaultable Bond | p. 226 |
| Non-Zero Recovery | p. 226 |
| Actual and Risk Neutral Default Intensity | p. 227 |
| Credit Rating: Default and Transition | p. 227 |
| Credit Rating | p. 227 |
| Rating Assignment | p. 229 |
| Rating Transition | p. 229 |
| Correlated Defaults | p. 230 |
| Credit Metrics | p. 230 |
| Correlated Default Intensities | p. 231 |
| Copula-Based Correlation Modeling | p. 231 |
| Credit Derivatives | p. 232 |
| Credit Default Swaps | p. 233 |
| Collateral Debt Obligations | p. 234 |
| Problems | p. 235 |
| Bibliographical Notes and Further Reading | p. 237 |
| References | p. 241 |
| Answers and Solutions to Selected Problems | p. 245 |
| Index | p. 265 |
| Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved. |
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