Financial Liberalization in Developing Countries

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Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2009-10-01
Publisher(s): Physica Verlag
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Summary

The latest global financial and economic crisis of 2008 has shown the need to re-examine the desirability of financial liberalization. This book is undertaking such a study on the issue of financial and market liberalization by adopting sophisticated econometric methods. It examines the effects of financial liberalization on economic development and social welfare using a case study approach on a sample of three Sub-Saharan African and an Asian country in which financial liberalization reforms were implemented. Further, it highlights some key causes of the failure of reform, and the policies and institutions that are needed to create an environment for successful financial liberalization. From the detailed country assessments, various policies such as effective competition in the banking sector, sound legal system, fiscal discipline and financial institutional development are identified, adoption of which can improve the efficiency of resource allocation, boost savings and impact growth, and thus lead to welfare enhancement.

Table of Contents

Introductionp. 1
Contemporary Issues in Financep. 1
Financial Repressionp. 1
Financial Liberalizationp. 2
Financial Crisis and Financial Contagionp. 2
International Capital Mobility/Capital Controlp. 3
Financial Liberalization: Opposing Viewsp. 5
Approaches to Financial Liberalizationp. 6
Financial Liberalization and Country Experience in Africa and Asiap. 7
Benefits of Financial Liberalization: An Empirical Issuep. 10
The Objectives of this Bookp. 11
Methodologyp. 12
Time Series Financial Econometricsp. 13
Cost Benefit Analysisp. 13
Contribution of this Bookp. 13
The Structure of the Bookp. 15
Background, Structure and Financial Reformsp. 17
Introductionp. 17
The Case of Kenyap. 20
The Structure of the Financial Systemp. 22
Agricultural Sector and Other Policies Frameworkp. 27
Liberalization and the Era of Structural Adjustmentsp. 31
The Case of Malawip. 33
Structure of the Financial Systemp. 38
Agricultural Sector and Other Policies Frameworkp. 42
The Case of Botswanap. 47
Structural Developments of the Financial Systemp. 52
Supplementing Role of Foreign Aid in Botswana: The Two-Gap Modelp. 58
Trends and Policies in Agriculture and Other Sectorsp. 61
The Thai Financial Systemp. 66
Conclusionp. 67
Literature Reviewp. 69
Introductionp. 69
Financial Development and Economic Developmentp. 71
Financial Liberalizationp. 74
Financial Liberalization in Sub-Saharan Africap. 83
The Thai Casep. 87
Conclusionp. 89
The Theory of Financial Liberalization and Its Economic Impact: An Assessmentp. 91
Financial Liberalizationp. 91
A Brief Theoretical Assessmentp. 91
Observations from the Case Studyp. 98
Contrasts between the Theory and Country Performancep. 100
Introductionp. 100
Economic Impact of the Recent Financial Reforms: Kenyap. 101
Malawip. 121
Botswanap. 129
Conclusionp. 139
An Analysis of the Economic Outcome of Financial Liberalizationp. 141
Introductionp. 141
A Simple Model of Imperfect Competition and Interest Rate Spreadp. 142
Liberalization: Market Determined Outcomep. 144
Financial Repressionp. 146
The Level of Fixed Costs as a Barrier to Entryp. 152
Graph of Fixed Cost and New Entryp. 155
Dynamics of how much the Interest Rate goes up after Liberalizationp. 160
Financial Reforms and Absence of Entry by New Foreign Banksp. 162
Conclusionp. 168
Testing the Potential Impact of Economic Changes on Savings in African Countriesp. 175
Introductionp. 175
Econometric Research on the Effect of Various Financial Conditioningsp. 176
Reforms and Savings Mobilization: Comparative Analysisp. 177
Measures of Financial Liberalizationp. 187
Basic Theory and Other Specificationsp. 189
The Macroeconometric Modelp. 190
VECM Set-upp. 192
Data and an Analysis of Econometric Resultsp. 194
Impacts of Market Liberalization on the Macroeconomy and Growthp. 206
Hypothetical Scenario for Kenya and Malawip. 212
Conclusionp. 216
Welfare Implications of Financial Liberalization in Thailand: A Cost-Benefit Analysisp. 221
Introductionp. 221
Financial Liberalization and Its Implications in Thailandp. 222
Welfare Economics Framework: Social Choice and Cost Benefit Analysis of Globalization and Financial Liberalizationp. 223
Costs and Benefits of Financial Liberalization (and Financial Crisis): Illustrative Numerical Estimation of the Costs and Benefits of Financial Liberalizationp. 226
Financial Benefitsp. 226
Financial Costsp. 227
Methodology, Numerical Estimates and Data Sourcesp. 227
Welfare Implications of Economic Growthp. 231
Conclusionsp. 233
Summary, Findings and Conclusionp. 249
Background and Motivationp. 249
The Summary and Empirical Resultsp. 250
Policy and Institutional Implicationsp. 252
Appendixp. 255
Movement from Repression to Liberalizationp. 255
Bibliographyp. 277
Indexp. 293
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