The Decline of Us Labor Unions and the Role of Trade

by
Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2003-06-01
Publisher(s): Peterson Inst for Intl Economics
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Author Biography

Robert E. Baldwin, visiting fellow, is Hiddale Professor of Economics Emeritus at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. He was chief economist in the Office of the US Trade Representative (1963-64) and served as a consultant on trade matters in the US Department of Labor (1975-76), the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (1975), the World Bank (1978-79), and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (1988, 1993, and 1997). From 1991 to 1992, he served as chair of the Panel on Foreign Trade Statistics for the National Academy of Science's Committee on National Trade Statistics. He is a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He was also a member of the external advisory group to Mike Moore, former director-general of the World Trade Organization

Table of Contents

Prefacep. ix
Acknowledgmentsp. xiii
Overviewp. 1
Trends in National and Regional Unionization Rates and in Union Versus Nonunion Wagesp. 7
National Trends in Unionizationp. 7
Regional Trends in Unionizationp. 10
Trends in the Earnings of Union Relative to Nonunion Workersp. 10
Changes in Unionization Rates: A Decomposition Analysisp. 15
Industry Effects on the National Rate of Unionizationp. 16
Industry Effects on Regional Unionization Rates in Manufacturingp. 19
Regional Effects on the National Unionization Rate in Manufacturingp. 23
The Effects of Trade and Other Economic Factors on the Rate of Unionization: An Analytical Reviewp. 27
Increases in Trade and Foreign Direct Investmentp. 28
Technological Changesp. 30
Relative Shifts in the Demand for Goods and Servicesp. 31
Changes in the Relative Supply of Basically Educated Versus More-Educated Laborp. 32
Net Effects of the Four Economic Forcesp. 33
Estimating the Impact of Increased Trade on the Employment of Union and Nonunion Workersp. 37
Statistical Modelp. 37
Data Issuesp. 40
Summary Statisticsp. 42
Regression Resultsp. 45
Total Employment Effectsp. 57
Conclusionsp. 65
Main Findingsp. 65
The Need for More Extensive Worker Assistance Programsp. 69
Data Sourcesp. 73
List of Industries in the Databasep. 75
Referencesp. 81
Indexp. 83
Tables
Proportion of unionized workers by product sector and educational level, 1977-97
Distribution of unionized workers across product sectors and educational levels, 1977-97
Proportion of unionized workers in manufacturing by region and year, 1977-97
Earning levels and ratios of union and nonunion workers by sector and educational level, 1977-97
Estimated changes in unionization rates due to within-industries shifts in unionization rates and between-industries shifts in employment, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Estimated percent distribution of changes in regional unionization rats in manufacturing due to within-industries and between-industries shifts in employment, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Regional distribution of change in national unionization rate in manufacturing due to within-regions shifts in unionization rates and between-regions shifts in employment shares, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Summary statistics for manufacturing, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Summary statistics for goods and services sectors, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Employment changes by union status regressed on changes in domestic spending, imports, exports, and labor coefficients, 1977-87 and 1987-97
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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