Decision Making in Complex Systems

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Format: Hardcover
Pub. Date: 2012-01-16
Publisher(s): Springer-Verlag New York Inc
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Summary

The study of complex systems attracts the attention of many researchers in diverse fields. Complex systems are characterized by a high number of entities and a high degree of interactions. One of the most important features is that they do not involve a central organizing authority, but the various elements that make up the systems are self-organized. Moreover, some complex systems possess an emergency priority: climate change and sustainable development research, studies of public health, ecosystem habitats, epidemiology, and medicine, among others.Unfortunately, a great number of today's overlapping approaches fail to meet the needs of decision makers when managing complex domains. Indeed, the design of complex systems often requires the integration of a number of artificial intelligence tools and techniques. The problem can be viewed in terms of goals, states, and actions, choosing the best action to move the system toward its desired state or behavior. This is why agent-based approaches are used to model complex systems.The main objective of this book is to bring together existing methods for decision support systems creation within a coherent agent-based framework and to provide an interdisciplinary and flexible methodology for modeling complex and systemic domains.

Table of Contents

Decision making in Complex Systemsp. 1
Introductionp. 1
Modeling of Natural and Complex Phenomenap. 2
Complex Systems: Definition and Principal Characteristicsp. 2
Decision Making and Decision Support Systemsp. 5
Decision Makingp. 5
The Evolution of Decision Support Systemsp. 6
Decision Making in Complex Systemsp. 9
Composite Decisionsp. 11
Motivationp. 13
Frameworks for the Design of Decision Support Systemsp. 13
The Need for an Interdisciplinary Approachp. 14
Multi-agent Paradigm for Complex Systems Modelingp. 15
A Review on Frameworks for Decision Support Systemsp. 19
Introductionp. 19
Decision Support Systems in Academy and Researchp. 20
Agent-Based Frameworks for Decision Support Systemsp. 28
Frameworks for Multi-agent Systems Planningp. 28
Software Tools for Multi-agent Systems Design and Implementationp. 36
Comparison of Agent-Based Frameworksp. 43
Design and Implementation of the DeciMaS Frameworkp. 47
Introductionp. 47
The DeciMaS Frameworkp. 48
Approach towards Ontology Creationp. 48
The General Structure of the Systemp. 50
Description of the Ontological Basis of the Multi-agent Architecturep. 54
The Domain of Interest Ontologyp. 55
The MAS Architecture Ontologyp. 55
The Tasks Ontologyp. 57
The Agent Ontologyp. 57
The Interactions Ontologyp. 58
The Distributed Meta-Ontologyp. 59
Data Mining Methods in the DeciMaS Frameworkp. 60
Methods for Information Fusion and Preprocessingp. 63
Methods for Knowledge Discoveryp. 68
Methods for Decision Generationp. 86
A Case Study for the DeciMaS Frameworkp. 89
Introductionp. 89
Human Health Environmental Impact Assessmentp. 90
Environment and Human Healthp. 90
Environment Impact Assessmentp. 92
Design of the Agent-Based Decision Support Systemp. 92
Meta-ontology of the Systemp. 92
Logical Levels of the ADSSp. 98
The Principal Abstractions of the Systemp. 100
Implementation in Jackp. 121
Program Architecturep. 121
Defining Agents in Jackp. 122
Data and Resultsp. 139
Introductionp. 139
Data for Experimentp. 140
Data Retrieval and Fusionp. 142
Information Fusion and Preprocessingp. 144
Detection and Elimination of Artifactsp. 144
Filling of Missing Valuesp. 145
Smoothing Resultsp. 146
Normalization Resultsp. 147
Results of the Correlation Analysisp. 147
Decomposition Resultsp. 148
Knowledge Discovery Resultsp. 150
Regression Modelsp. 150
Neural Network Modelsp. 152
Models Obtained with the Group Method of Data Handlingp. 155
Committee Machinesp. 157
Environmental Impact Assessment Resultsp. 159
Decision Makingp. 161
Discussion of the Experimentp. 165
Conclusionsp. 169
Conclusionsp. 169
Future Workp. 171
Referencesp. 173
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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