Other versions by this Author
| Tables and Figures | p. x |
| About the Authors | p. xiv |
| Preface | p. xv |
| The 2004 Presidential Election | p. 1 |
| The Nomination Struggle | p. 15 |
| Who Ran | p. 16 |
| The Rules of the Nomination System | p. 19 |
| How Kerry Won | p. 26 |
| The Conventions | p. 29 |
| The General Election Campaign | p. 34 |
| The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices | p. 34 |
| From the Spring to the Debates | p. 36 |
| Reversal of Fortune: The Debates Even the Race | p. 40 |
| Final Efforts: Air War and Ground War | p. 42 |
| Did the Campaign Matter? | p. 46 |
| The Election Results | p. 49 |
| The Election Rules | p. 53 |
| The Pattern of Results | p. 56 |
| State-by-State Results | p. 59 |
| Electoral Change in the Postwar South | p. 65 |
| Other Regional Changes | p. 67 |
| The Electoral Vote Balance | p. 70 |
| Voting Behavior in the 2004 Presidential Election | p. 73 |
| Who Voted? | p. 79 |
| Turnout from 1828 through 1920 | p. 79 |
| Turnout from 1920 through 2004 | p. 83 |
| Turnout among Social Groups | p. 87 |
| Why Has Turnout Declined? | p. 94 |
| Why Turnout Rose in 2004 | p. 100 |
| Does Low Turnout Matter? | p. 101 |
| Social Forces and the Vote | p. 107 |
| How Social Groups Voted in 2004 | p. 108 |
| How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years | p. 117 |
| Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down | p. 131 |
| Candidates, Issues, and the Vote | p. 134 |
| Attitudes toward the Candidates | p. 135 |
| Prospective Evaluations | p. 137 |
| The Concerns of the Electorate | p. 140 |
| Issue Positions and Perceptions | p. 143 |
| Issue Voting Criteria | p. 146 |
| Apparent Issue Voting in 2004 | p. 150 |
| Conclusion | p. 159 |
| Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice | p. 160 |
| What Is Retrospective Voting? | p. 161 |
| Evaluations of Governmental Performance on Important Problems | p. 164 |
| Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent | p. 168 |
| Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent | p. 172 |
| Evaluations of the Incumbent | p. 176 |
| The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations | p. 178 |
| Conclusion | p. 180 |
| Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote | p. 182 |
| Party Identification: The Standard View | p. 183 |
| Party Identification: An Alternative View | p. 184 |
| Party Identification in the Electorate | p. 186 |
| Party Identification and the Vote | p. 192 |
| Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations | p. 195 |
| Conclusion | p. 204 |
| The 2004 and 2006 Congressional Elections | p. 207 |
| Candidates and Outcomes in 2004 | p. 212 |
| Election Outcomes in 2004 | p. 212 |
| Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes | p. 223 |
| The 2004 Elections: The Impact on Congress | p. 233 |
| The 2006 Elections and Beyond | p. 241 |
| The Congressional Electorate in 2004 | p. 251 |
| Social Forces and the Congressional Vote | p. 251 |
| Issues and the Congressional Vote | p. 255 |
| Party Identification and the Congressional Vote | p. 256 |
| Incumbency and the Congressional Vote | p. 258 |
| The Congressional Vote as Referendum | p. 259 |
| Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote | p. 261 |
| Conclusion | p. 264 |
| The 2006 Congressional Elections | p. 265 |
| The Pattern of Outcomes | p. 265 |
| Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results | p. 268 |
| National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections | p. 272 |
| The 2006 Elections: The Impact on Congress | p. 287 |
| The 2008 Elections and Beyond | p. 293 |
| The 2004 and 2006 Elections in Perspective | p. 299 |
| The 2004 and 2006 Elections and the Future of American Politics | p. 304 |
| Prospects for the Democrats | p. 309 |
| Prospects for the Republicans | p. 315 |
| Prospects for a New Political Party | p. 321 |
| Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility | p. 323 |
| Appendix | p. 325 |
| Notes | p. 329 |
| Suggested Readings | p. 396 |
| Index | p. 411 |
| Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved. |
Change and Continuity in the 2004 and 2006 Elections
by Abramson, Paul R.Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2007-03-15
Publisher(s): Cq Pr
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