List of Symbols |
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xix | |
Preface |
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xxi | |
Part I Foundations of Quantitative Analysis |
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1 | (54) |
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Chapter 1 Statistics and Public and Nonprofit Administration |
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3 | (10) |
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The Advantages of a Statistical Approach |
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3 | (2) |
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Statistics and Options for Managers |
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5 | (1) |
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6 | (1) |
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NASPAA Standards for Professional Master's Degree Programs in Public Affairs, Policy, and Administration |
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7 | (1) |
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8 | (5) |
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13 | (18) |
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14 | (1) |
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15 | (2) |
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17 | (2) |
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17 | (1) |
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18 | (1) |
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19 | (1) |
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20 | (4) |
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The Implications of Selecting a Particular Level of Measurement |
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24 | (2) |
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26 | (1) |
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27 | (4) |
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Chapter 3 Research Design |
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31 | (24) |
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Constructing Causal Explanations |
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33 | (5) |
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38 | (3) |
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41 | (2) |
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Experimental Designs of Research |
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43 | (5) |
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43 | (3) |
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46 | (2) |
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Quasi-Experimental Designs of Research |
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48 | (3) |
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48 | (2) |
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50 | (1) |
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Research Designs and Validity |
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51 | (1) |
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52 | (1) |
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52 | (3) |
Part II Descriptive Statistics |
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55 | (58) |
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Chapter 4 Frequency Distributions |
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57 | (18) |
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Constructing a Frequency Distribution |
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58 | (2) |
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The Percentage Distribution |
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60 | (1) |
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Cumulative Frequency Distributions |
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61 | (2) |
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63 | (6) |
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69 | (1) |
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70 | (5) |
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Chapter 5 Measures of Central Tendency |
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75 | (24) |
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76 | (1) |
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77 | (2) |
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79 | (2) |
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81 | (3) |
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84 | (2) |
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86 | (1) |
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The Mean versus the Median |
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86 | (1) |
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Levels of Measurement and Measures of Central Tendency |
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86 | (4) |
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90 | (1) |
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91 | (1) |
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92 | (1) |
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93 | (6) |
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Chapter 6 Measures of Dispersion |
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99 | (14) |
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100 | (3) |
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Standard Deviations for Grouped Data |
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103 | (2) |
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Shape of a Frequency Distribution |
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105 | (3) |
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The Importance of Using Measures of Dispersion and Measures of Central Tendency Together |
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108 | (1) |
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109 | (1) |
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109 | (4) |
Part III Probability |
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113 | (60) |
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Chapter 7 Introduction to Probability |
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115 | (18) |
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Basic Concepts in Probability |
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115 | (4) |
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An Application to Game Theory |
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119 | (3) |
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Introduction to Probability Logic |
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122 | (1) |
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General Rules of Probability |
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123 | (5) |
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The General Rule of Addition |
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123 | (3) |
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The General Rule of Multiplication |
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126 | (2) |
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128 | (1) |
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128 | (5) |
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Chapter 8 The Normal Probability Distribution |
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133 | (20) |
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Characteristics of the Normal Distribution |
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133 | (3) |
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z Scores and the Normal Distribution Table |
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136 | (4) |
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Applications to Public Management |
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140 | (5) |
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A Measurement Technique Based on Standard Normal Scores |
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145 | (3) |
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148 | (1) |
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149 | (4) |
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Chapter 9 The Binomial Probability Distribution |
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153 | (12) |
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153 | (6) |
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The Normal Curve and the Binomial Distribution |
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159 | (1) |
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When to Use the Normal Curve |
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160 | (1) |
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160 | (1) |
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161 | (4) |
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Chapter 10 Some Special Probability Distributions |
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165 | (8) |
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The Hypergeometric Probability Distribution |
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165 | (2) |
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167 | (3) |
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The Exponential Probability Distribution |
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170 | (1) |
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170 | (1) |
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170 | (3) |
Part IV Inferential Statistics |
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173 | (62) |
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Chapter 11 Introduction to Inference |
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175 | (14) |
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176 | (1) |
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Estimating a Population Mean |
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177 | (1) |
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Estimating a Population Standard Deviation |
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178 | (1) |
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179 | (1) |
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How Sample Size Affects the Standard Error |
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180 | (1) |
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181 | (1) |
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182 | (2) |
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184 | (1) |
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185 | (4) |
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Chapter 12 Hypothesis Testing |
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189 | (20) |
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Steps in Hypothesis Testing |
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191 | (1) |
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The Importance of Stating the Null and Alternative Hypotheses Correctly |
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192 | (1) |
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Testing Hypotheses with Population Parameters |
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193 | (1) |
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Hypothesis Testing with Samples |
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194 | (2) |
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How Sure Should a Person Be? |
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196 | (2) |
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One- and Two-Tailed Tests |
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198 | (2) |
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200 | (1) |
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201 | (2) |
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203 | (1) |
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203 | (3) |
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Answers to Sample Null and Research Hypotheses |
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206 | (3) |
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Chapter 13 Estimating Population Proportions |
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209 | (8) |
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Estimating a Population Proportion |
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209 | (2) |
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211 | (1) |
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212 | (1) |
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213 | (1) |
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214 | (1) |
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215 | (1) |
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215 | (2) |
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Chapter 14 Testing the Difference between Two Groups |
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217 | (18) |
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Stating the Research and Null Hypotheses for Difference of Means Tests |
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217 | (2) |
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Difference of Means Procedure |
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219 | (2) |
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Understanding the Three Major Difference of Means Tests |
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221 | (1) |
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t Test Assuming Independent Samples with Unequal Variances |
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222 | (2) |
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t Test Assuming Independent Samples with Equal Variances |
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224 | (2) |
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t Test Assuming Dependent Samples |
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226 | (1) |
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227 | (2) |
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229 | (1) |
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229 | (6) |
Part V Analysis of Nominal and Ordinal Data |
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235 | (80) |
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Chapter 15 Construction and Analysis of Contingency Tables |
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237 | (22) |
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238 | (5) |
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239 | (1) |
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Displaying and Interpreting Percentage Distributions |
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240 | (1) |
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Collapsing Percentage Distributions |
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241 | (2) |
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Contingency Table Analysis |
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243 | (7) |
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Constructing Contingency Tables |
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244 | (2) |
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Relationships between Variables |
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246 | (3) |
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Example: Automobile Maintenance in Berrysville |
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249 | (1) |
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Larger Contingency Tables |
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250 | (2) |
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Displaying Contingency Tables |
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252 | (1) |
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253 | (1) |
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254 | (5) |
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Chapter 16 Aids for the Interpretation of Contingency Tables |
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259 | (28) |
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The Chi-Square Test: Statistical Significance for Contingency Tables |
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260 | (5) |
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Example: Incompetence in the Federal Government? |
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260 | (4) |
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Limitations of the Chi-Square Test |
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264 | (1) |
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Assessing the Strength of a Relationship |
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265 | (4) |
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The Percentage Difference |
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265 | (2) |
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Perfect and Null Relationships |
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267 | (2) |
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269 | (4) |
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An Ordinal Measure of Association: Gamma |
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270 | (3) |
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Other Ordinal Measures of Association: Kendall's tau-b and tau-c and Somers's dyx and dxy |
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273 | (3) |
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A Nominal Measure of Association: Lambda |
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274 | (2) |
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A Nominal Measure of Association Based on Chi-Square: Cramér's V |
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276 | (6) |
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Use of Nominal Measures of Association with Ordinal Data |
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277 | (1) |
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Measures of Association for Larger Tables |
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278 | (4) |
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282 | (1) |
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282 | (5) |
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Chapter 17 Statistical Control Table Analysis |
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287 | (28) |
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Controlling for a Third Variable |
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289 | (16) |
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Example 1: Alcoholism in the Postal Service |
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The Effect of Hierarchical Position |
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289 | (4) |
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Example 2: Performance on the Civil Service Examination |
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A Case of Favoritism in Blakely? |
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293 | (5) |
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Example 2 1/2: Race, Education, and Complaints |
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298 | (1) |
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Example 3: Guaranteed Annual Income |
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298 | (4) |
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Example 4: Support for Performance-Based Pay |
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Evidence of Joint Causation |
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302 | (3) |
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Results and Implications of Control Table Analysis |
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305 | (2) |
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Limitations of the Control Table Technique |
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307 | (1) |
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Multivariate Relationships |
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307 | (1) |
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The Source of Control Variables |
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307 | (1) |
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308 | (1) |
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308 | (7) |
Part VI Regression Analysis |
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315 | (142) |
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Chapter 18 Introduction to Regression Analysis |
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317 | (30) |
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Relationships between Variables |
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318 | (4) |
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322 | (4) |
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326 | (3) |
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329 | (1) |
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329 | (2) |
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Measures of Goodness of Fit |
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331 | (1) |
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The Standard Error of the Estimate |
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332 | (2) |
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The Coefficient of Determination |
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334 | (2) |
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The Standard Error of the Slope |
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336 | (3) |
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339 | (1) |
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339 | (6) |
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Answer to Regression Problem |
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345 | (2) |
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Chapter 19 The Assumptions of Linear Regression |
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347 | (14) |
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348 | (1) |
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349 | (1) |
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350 | (1) |
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350 | (4) |
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354 | (3) |
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357 | (1) |
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357 | (4) |
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Chapter 20 Time Series Analysis |
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361 | (24) |
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Introduction to Time Series |
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362 | (3) |
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Forecasting without Fluctuation |
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365 | (3) |
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Forecasting an Exponential Trend |
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368 | (4) |
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Forecasting with a Short-Term Fluctuation |
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372 | (3) |
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375 | (3) |
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378 | (1) |
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379 | (6) |
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Chapter 21 Multiple Regression |
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385 | (30) |
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386 | (4) |
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Calculating Partial Slopes |
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390 | (1) |
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391 | (1) |
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391 | (1) |
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392 | (1) |
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Dummy Variable Regression |
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392 | (1) |
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Regression with Three Independent Variables |
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393 | (2) |
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393 | (2) |
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Calculating Regression Coefficients |
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395 | (1) |
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395 | (1) |
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Two Additional Regression Assumptions |
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396 | (5) |
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Assumption 1: Model is Specified Correctly |
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396 | (3) |
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Assumption 2: Low Multicollinearity |
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399 | (2) |
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401 | (5) |
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401 | (2) |
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403 | (3) |
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406 | (1) |
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406 | (9) |
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Chapter 22 Interrupted Time Series: Program and Policy Analysis |
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415 | (20) |
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416 | (3) |
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419 | (3) |
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Both Short- and Long Term Effects |
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422 | (3) |
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425 | (1) |
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426 | (3) |
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Using Data to Represent Program Changes |
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429 | (1) |
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Controlling for Other Variables |
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430 | (1) |
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431 | (1) |
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431 | (4) |
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Chapter 23 Regression Output and Data Management |
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435 | (22) |
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Bivariate Regression Output |
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435 | (5) |
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435 | (3) |
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438 | (2) |
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Multiple Regression Output |
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440 | (3) |
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Standardized Coefficients |
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441 | (1) |
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442 | (1) |
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Time Series and Dummy Variable Regression Output |
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443 | (3) |
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443 | (3) |
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What to Report When Discussing Regression Output |
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446 | (1) |
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447 | (1) |
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447 | (1) |
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447 | (1) |
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The Importance of Examining Descriptive Statistics Prior to Using More Advanced Statistical Techniques |
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448 | (2) |
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The Range and Other Descriptive Statistics |
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449 | (1) |
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The Importance of Plotting Data before Analysis |
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449 | (1) |
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450 | (1) |
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450 | (7) |
Part VII Special Topics in Quantitative Management |
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457 | (62) |
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Chapter 24 Performance Measurement Techniques |
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459 | (26) |
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Defining Inputs, Outputs, and Outcomes |
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460 | (4) |
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460 | (1) |
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460 | (2) |
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Inputs, Outputs, and Efficiency |
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462 | (1) |
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Outcome Measures from External Sources |
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463 | (1) |
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The Importance of Using Multiple Output and Outcome Measures |
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463 | (1) |
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Techniques for Presenting Performance Data |
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464 | (3) |
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465 | (2) |
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467 | (8) |
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475 | (2) |
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Causality Issues in Explaining Performance |
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477 | (1) |
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478 | (1) |
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479 | (6) |
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Chapter 25 Decision Theory |
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485 | (24) |
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The Rational Decision-Making Model |
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485 | (3) |
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488 | (1) |
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Decision Making under Certainty |
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488 | (1) |
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Decision Making under Risk |
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489 | (4) |
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The Value of Perfect Information |
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493 | (1) |
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Decision Making under Risk: Decision Trees |
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494 | (2) |
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Decision Making under Uncertainty |
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496 | (5) |
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Strategy 1: The Bayesian Approach |
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499 | (1) |
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Strategy 2: The Insufficient Reason Approach |
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499 | (1) |
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Strategy 3: The Maximin Principle |
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499 | (1) |
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Strategy 4: Minimax Regret |
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500 | (1) |
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501 | (1) |
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501 | (1) |
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501 | (4) |
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501 | (2) |
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503 | (1) |
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503 | (1) |
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504 | (1) |
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505 | (1) |
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505 | (4) |
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Chapter 26 Linear Programming |
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509 | (10) |
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510 | (5) |
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Linear Programming with More Than Two Variables |
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515 | (1) |
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515 | (1) |
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516 | (3) |
Annotated Bibliography |
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519 | (6) |
Statistical Tables |
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525 | (10) |
Glossary |
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535 | (12) |
Answers to Odd-Numbered Computational Problems |
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547 | (23) |
Index |
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570 | |